George Bush's Move to the Left
How Clinton Shifted the Center of
American Politics
©2004 Jefferis Kent Peterson, I
Although the Democrats decry George W. Bush for being a willing accomplice
of corporations bent on economic domination of the middle class, the
truth of the matter is that George Bush has moved the United States further
down the road towards economic socialism than has any previous president,
including Bill Clinton. In the 1996 Presidential campaign, Bill Clinton
won the economic debate by painting Republicans as callous scrooges who
want to rob the poor and elderly. His ploy worked and he convinced the
average American that Democrats were more compassionate. In framing the
debate this way, Clinton crushed the Conservatives under foot. Ever since
that time debates on economic policies have taken a decided turn to the
left. The ideas of true economic conservatism do not stand a chance in
the current political climate. In order to prevent a repeat of the accusations
of the past, George Bush strategically moved far to the left, adopting
liberal economic policies as his own. The left turn was necessary to
stop Republicans from becoming easy targets for the Democrat's slogan
machines. George Bush learned well: if you want to win elections, don't
debate real issues, use slogans and sound bites. And above all, don't
require the electorate to have to think. It is a recipe for disaster.
First of all, we must distinguish between moral and economic conservatism.
Democrats are far more upset over Bush's traditional values and military
policies than they are over his economic plans. They are scared to death
Bush will get reelected and appoint the next Supreme Court justices.
However, anti-war sentiments and judicial fears resonate only with the
left-most segment of the Democratic party. The Democrats need a broader
political issue that can catch fire, so they pick the economy because
people are always afraid of losing their jobs. While the country remains
fairly divided over moral issues, what has changed is popular agreement
on matters of economics. Even “Compassionate Conservatives” have
become economic liberals.
What happened to Conservatives? Bill Clinton happened to them in 1996.
In 1994, Bill Clinton was chastised by a huge midterm Republican victory
in the House of Representatives. This victory was in part a backlash
against Clinton's promotion of homosexuality in a the military and Hillary's “secret” plan
to put all medical services under government control. It seemed at the
time that Clinton's days were numbered. But in 1996, Clinton capitalized
on America's fears and emotions to turn the debate to issues of economic
policy. The conservative push for a balanced budget was a gold mine for
Clinton. While the Republican House wanted to restrain the growth of
federal spending, Clinton accused the Republicans of wanting to cut school
lunch programs for hungry and needy children and starve the elderly by
cutting Social Security. In truth, the Republicans were allowing spending
to increase in both of those areas; they were just not spending as much
as Clinton wanted to spend and that opened them to the charge of "favoring
the rich and not caring about the poor." This perception stuck in
the mind of the electorate and the truth became irrelevant.
The American people are a compassionate people, and they don't want
the elderly or the young to starve. Clinton's rhetoric struck a chord
with the compassionate nature of most Americans. The Conservative's problem
is that the American people no longer respond to facts, they respond
to perceptions and emotions. They were convinced by the slogans that
the Republicans were mean spirited and heartless. A complicit media was
largely silent and did not bring up Clinton's factual errors, while the
majority of the people were content to decide major issues on the basis
of television sound bites. Without bothering to check the facts, the
people believed what they were told. So, they voted Bill Clinton back
into office by good margin, and the Republicans, tails between their
legs, learned a valuable lesson. You cannot win the presidency by promising
fiscal responsibility if being responsible opens you up to the charge
of oppressing the poor and the needy. Even if you are not trying to deprive
the poor, it only takes one political lie to create the perception that
you are, and you will lose the battle for the hearts and minds of the
American people.
In 2000, the country was equally divided. Bush's election victory over
Al Gore was probably due more to the nation's disgust over Clinton's
sexual indiscretions than to any policy views. Bush was chosen just as
Jimmy Carter was elected to cleanse the country of the Nixon stain. Bush's
narrow margin of victory assured that attempts to privatize Social Security
went nowhere. Tax cuts passed, yes, but even the average Democrat likes
tax cuts, so aside from tax cuts, Bush has not made much progress on
his economic agenda.
As Bush as positioned himself for the next election, we see that he
has ceded all economic ground to liberal causes to the point that Democrats
accuse Mr. Bush of stealing their issues. Bush has given the Left no
room to criticize him for hard heartedness towards the poor or seniors.
Bush has proposed massive spending for education, vast government policies
to govern national education goals. He had Ted Kennedy co-author the
legislation. Bush has proposed public school performance accountability.
He has proposed and passed prescription drug coverage for the elderly,
creating a new entitlement and retirement benefit that will end up raising
deficits and costing the taxpayers a great deal of money. He and his
Republican allies have spent on domestic programs of every sort, robbing
the Democrats of issue after economic issue. None of these programs could
be called conservative economic policies. Yet strategically, George Bush
has realized that to win the vote and to win the hearts of the American
people, and to win in November, he must pander to the people who cry
out for services and benefits from the government. Bush has ceded the
issues of economics in order to win what he considers the most important
battle of all: the war on terror. He is willing to abandon conservative
economic principals, and he must, in order to pursue his other agendas.
Rather than blame Bush for his surrender on economic polices, one must
commend him for his shrewdness. He does not fight battles he cannot win.
He has recognized the mood and the heart of the American people. We have
become socialist in our economic ideas and in our desire to have the
government fix and solve all our personal problems and financial ills.
No one who advocates true conservative economics can get elected in this
climate. No one who really believes in smaller government can succeed.
When waging political war, you must recognize the battles you can win
and those you cannot. Winning the hearts of the people over fiscal conservatism
is a lost cause. The only remedy for this excess will be the collapse
of the economy in massive debts, or the rebellion of the people over
the crushing taxes they have voted for themselves. That's right, it is
not George Bush who is to blame for this demand for government services
at public expense, we the people are. Alexander Fraser Tyler wrote prophetically, "A
democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can exist
only until the voters discover they can vote themselves largess out of
the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always votes for
the candidate promising the most benefits from the public treasury, with
the result that democracy always collapses over a loose fiscal policy,
always to be followed by a dictatorship." We, the people, who now
look to the government to solve all our problems, have abandoned that
self-reliant spirit that founded the nation. Instead, we are becoming
serfs on the government's plantation doomed to pay more taxes as a percentage
of our income. In exchange, we expect the government to assure us health
care, jobs, food, clothes, and contentment. If those things are not provided,
we will blame the man, or woman, and party in office. George W. Bush
wisely does not want to find himself the target of popular wrath, and
so he has done his best to fight a rear guard action restraining what
expenditures and polices he can, but he has given up the battle. He wouldn't
even dare risk the political fallout that would have occurred if he had
opposed prescription drug coverage for seniors. The next election would
have turned on that one sloganeering issue, defining Bush forever as
a heartless extremist who cares nothing for the elderly poor. His recent
promise to veto a national highway bill is mere tokenism – a gesture
of sympathy to the tiny minority of fiscal conservatives left in his
Republican base. In the end, they too will vote for Bush because he promises
to be the lesser of two economic evils, but they will not be happy about
it.
Whether George Bush will win is now an open question, but it is clear
he believes that in order to win he has had to implement most of Democrat's
economic agenda. Bush moved to the left to stay in the center where Bill
Clinton and the Democrats have drawn the new mid field line.